Tiny chance of planetary collision - real Great Collapse?

General discussion of subjects beyond the scope of the other forums.

Tiny chance of planetary collision - real Great Collapse?

Postby Srijita » Wed Jun 10, '09, 9:18 pm

According to this BBC news story, it has been known for ~20 years that planetary orbits are not entirely fixed, but show slight natural fluctuations. Recently, astronomers J. Laskar and M. Gastineau have developed numerical simulations of the evolution of the Solar System. In ~1% of these solutions, the eccentricity of Mercury's orbit increases to the point of allowing collisions with Venus or the Sun. Still more alarming is the scenario in which a subsequent change in Mercury's orbit destabilises all the terrestrial planets, with consequent collisions of Mercury, Mars or Venus with the Earth.

This "complete devastation" only arises in a tiny minority of simulations, and wouldn't happen for several million years, but the possibility is nonetheless disturbing... :sweat:

Nature: Existence of collisional trajectories of Mercury, Mars and Venus with the Earth
Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience. - C. S. Lewis
Srijita
Esper Novice
Esper Novice
 
Posts: 678
Joined: August 2008
Location: London, UK
Achievements: 15
Gender: Female

Re: Tiny chance of planetary collision - real Great Collapse?

Postby Silver_Surfer1 » Thu Jun 11, '09, 1:40 am

I'm not surprised to hear of something like this possibly happening one day. After all the movies I've seen on sci-fi about Asteroids falling to Earth, etc., etc., etc., it really makes you think about what some of these dangers may be. And with all that space junk up there and everything else, you never know.

Scary, but there's nothing we can do about it. :bang:
Image

:rose: Happy 27th Anniversary Fringes Of Algo :rose:
~ Founded April 01, 1997 ~

Image
Image
Image
User avatar
Silver_Surfer1
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 29053
Joined: March 2007
Location: USA
Achievements: 499
Gender: Female

Re: Tiny chance of planetary collision - real Great Collapse?

Postby Wolf Bird » Thu Jun 11, '09, 2:10 am

I JUST read about this on my BBC RSS feed. I find it interesting...and scary. But it's highly unlikely...but if it did happen, yup, we're screwed.
Next Pokemon game(s): Pearl
Last finished Pokémon game: Shield
Other games: Skyrim Special Edition (Switch), Spyro Reignited Trilogy (Switch & PS4), Okami (Switch & PS4)
Other gaming goals: completing a Living Pokedex (minus some event Pokes) and going through at least 1 game per generation

Image
User avatar
Wolf Bird
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 7266
Joined: December 2007
Location: Waltham, Massachusetts
Achievements: 420
Gender: Female

Re: Tiny chance of planetary collision - real Great Collapse?

Postby Thoul » Thu Jun 11, '09, 2:20 am

There are so many doomsday scenarios that I'm surprised we've made it as far as we have. Asteroids, planetary orbits, climate change, super volcanoes, freak science experiments making black holes... seriously, it's like there's one for every day of the year.
User avatar
Thoul
Administrator
Administrator
 
Posts: 12923
Joined: March 2007
Location: USA
Achievements: 123
Gender: Male

Re: Tiny chance of planetary collision - real Great Collapse?

Postby Tweeg » Thu Jun 11, '09, 3:14 am

Seems a more dignified way to go than with the death by zombie apocaplypse scenario that's predicted for when the Mayan calendar runs out in 2012. :wink:
WELCOME TO THE NEXT LEVEL --- SEGA
PSO Archive
User avatar
Tweeg
Esper Elder
Esper Elder
 
Posts: 930
Joined: June 2009
Location: Ragol
Achievements: 52
Gender: Male


Return to Casual Conversation

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests